Jingle Bells, Batman Smells: YTD Reflection & 2019 Positioning

Christmas season is upon us and geez has the year flown by. Below is a reflection on the year's returns and what to expect/how to position going forward. Returns year to date have been tepid in the US and abysmal in Europe and Asia. The question is, what should investors expect moving into 2019? Growth … Continue reading Jingle Bells, Batman Smells: YTD Reflection & 2019 Positioning

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Patterns in the Numbers

Ray Dalio emphasizes credit cycles as integral to his firm's investment strategy. Watch this video on how the economy functions: While we can be sure the pattern will repeat itself in some form or another, we can only be sure how the pattern played out in the past and play the game of averages. With … Continue reading Patterns in the Numbers

Get Paid to Take Risk

Is the risk-reward trade-off broken? Historically smaller companies have higher stock price returns, but this relationship has faded since 2008. What happened and why aren't investors being compensated for taking more risk? Table 1.1 shows how small-cap stocks have performed relative to large-cap stocks since the Great Financial Crisis in 2007-08. There is more volatility … Continue reading Get Paid to Take Risk